Policy Meeting: Understanding the Demographic Headwinds Threatening Growth in China

  • Date
    11 April 2024
  • Beijing Time
    10:00 - 11:30
  • Location
  • Venue
    Four Seasons Hotel Beijing
  • Open to
    Stakeholders only
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Although China is one of the world’s most populous countries, birth rates have been steadily declining in the past years, fueling concerns over an aging population in spite of policy changes such as rolling back the One Child Policy. In the meantime, Chinese leaders must also contend with a still substantial education and income gap between those living in urban areas and those in rural areas, the social and economic fallout of strictures such as the hukou system, and the relatively high percentage of youth unemployment. What are the social and economic impacts of these demographic headwinds? And how can policymakers address these issues in their policy design and implementation?

The EU SME Centre and the European Chamber are pleased to invite you to join our upcoming Policy Meeting, where Scott RozelleHelen F. Farnsworth Senior Fellow and the co-director of Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions in the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research at Stanford University, and Ernan Cui, Consumer Analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics, will discuss the various aspects of the current demographic headwinds in China . The meeting will take place on Thursday 11 April from 10:00 to 11:30 AM offline in Beijing. The meeting will be off-the-record and held under Chatham House rules.

How to register

This is a closed meeting open to consortium partners’ management and relevant stakeholders of EU SME Centre Phase IV including European embassies, consulates, EU-funded projects and secretariat/board members from European chambers or business associations only. If you meet the criteria and would like to attend, please send your information to Ms Hanqi Gao at intern011@europeanchamber.com.cn before Wednesday 10 April noon. You will receive a confirmation email and later the full address.


9:30 – 10:00

Registration and networking

10:00 – 10:10

Opening remarks

10:10 – 11:00

Presentations by Scott Rozelle and Ernan Cui

11:00 – 11:30

Discussion and Q&A

Scott Rozelle
Economist, Co-Director, Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions

Scott Rozelle is the Helen F. Farnsworth Senior Fellow and the co-director of Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions in the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research at Stanford University. He received his BS from the University of California, Berkeley, and his MS and PhD from Cornell University. Previously, Rozelle was a professor at the University of California, Davis and an assistant professor in Stanford’s Food Research Institute and department of economics. He currently is a member of several organizations, including the American Economics Association, the International Association for Agricultural Economists, and the Association for Asian Studies. Rozelle also serves on the editorial boards of Economic Development and Cultural Change, Agricultural Economics, the Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, and the China Economic Review. His research focuses almost exclusively on China and is concerned with: agricultural policy, including the supply, demand, and trade in agricultural projects; the emergence and evolution of markets and other economic institutions in the transition process and their implications for equity and efficiency; and the economics of poverty and inequality, with an emphasis on rural education, health and nutrition. 

Rozelle’s papers have been published in top academic journals, including Science, Nature, American Economic Review, and the Journal of Economic Literature. He is fluent in Chinese and has established a research program in which he has close working ties with several Chinese collaborators and policymakers. For the past 20 years, Rozelle has been the chair of the International Advisory Board of the Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy; a co-director of the University of California’s Agricultural Issues Center; and a member of Stanford’s Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center and the Center on Food Security and the Environment. In recognition of his outstanding achievements, Rozelle has received numerous honors and awards, including the Friendship Award in 2008, the highest award given to a non-Chinese by the Premier; and the National Science and Technology Collaboration Award in 2009 for scientific achievement in collaborative research. 

Ernan Cui
Consumer Analyst, Gavekal Dragonomics

Ernan Cui is a Consumer Analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics, where she covers China’s labor market, demographics, urbanization, and household savings and debts, as well as other consumer-related sectors such as retailing, autos, tourism, and healthcare.

She is often quoted by major media outlets including the Financial Times, Reuters, Bloomberg, the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and The Economist. Before joining Gavekal in 2013, Ernan interned at Standard Chartered and Accenture, and was a researcher at the University of Chicago’s Beijing Center. Ernan graduated from Renmin University of China with an MA in economics and a double bachelor’s degree in economics and mathematics.

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